Date: 27th July 2023
- There was a 12% decrease in rail freight from Canada to the U.S. last week, according to the Association of American Railroads weekly rail report.
- This is the third weekly drop in a row in rail traffic from Canada into the U.S. following the on-again, off-again Western Canadian ports strike.
- The Railway Association of Canada tells CNBC that delays are on the upper end of the range, and CN is running additional trains to move out congestion.
Rail traffic from Canada into the U.S. had a third-straight weekly drop as a result of the on-again, off-again strike at the West Coast Canadian ports.
The vessel and container gridlock is raising concerns for chemical companies that have critical materials stuck as a result, creating supply chain issues.
Last week, total rail volume from Canada to the U.S. was down 12%, according to The Association of American Railroad’s latest rail traffic report for the week ending July 22. This was an improvement given the first full week of the strike saw a 46% decrease in rail trade from Canada, and the second week suffered a 36% decrease.
Canadian Rail Traffic
There are currently nine containerships waiting at the Port of Vancouver and the average wait time to get into port is 7.8 days, according to MarineTraffic data. At the Port of Prince Rupert, six container vessels are anchored and the average wait to get into port is 8.9 days.
The Railway Association of Canada originally estimated that it would take three to five days for every day the strike lasted for networks and supply chains to recover. When the first strike ended on its thirteenth day, delays for rail containers were estimated at 39 to 66 days. Adding another day with the on-again, off-again strike last week, brings the congestion removal tally up to 42-70 days.
“Delays appear to be bearing out toward the mid-to-upper end of that range,” a Railway Association of Canada spokesperson wrote in an email to CNBC.
Chemicals supply is a top concern
The National Association of Chemical Distributors (NACD) told CNBC that companies in its membership are also hearing that rail delays are expected at the higher end of the range.
During CN’s earnings call on July 26, the executive vice president and chief marketing officer said that CN initiated a recovery plan on July 14. “We are running additional trains out of Vancouver and Rupert to clear the backlog and expect it to take up to eight weeks to be current in all areas of the supply chain work together.”
All of these delays are impacting the delivery of critical chemical goods and items that are being delivered at the start of peak shipping season.
Chemical Solvents, an Ohio-based company is one of the American shippers that uses the Port of Vancouver for its Asian imports. The company had previously moved imports out of the Port of Long Beach amid fears over the past year of a longshoreman’s strike on the U.S. West Coast, and Covid rail delays.
The company imports products used in paints, coatings, and cleaning agents. The vice president of sales at Chemical Solvents said significant delays are “going to be a problem,” with the existing supply of key chemicals limited in the supply chain.
The vice president of procurement for Chemical Solvents said that the company was able in one case to buy a key chemical in the U.S., it was at a 15% markup. “Our margins are thin and that extra 15% means we actually lost money in the transaction,” the vice president said.
The CEO of NACD said that hundreds of chemicals are needed to complete the U.S. manufacturing of products that arrive through the West Coast Canadian ports.
“There are millions of dollars of chemicals stranded on the water. We have members waiting for chemicals to be unloaded in Vancouver and then railed down to Chicago,” the CEO of NACD said.
That includes chemicals like sulfuric acid which is used in drain cleaning products like Drano; phosphates used in laundry detergent; and acetone, which is used in the nail industry as well as a solvent that breaks down grease and wax. Sodium fluoride, found in toothpaste, and sodium bicarbonate, also known as baking soda, also come through the West Coast ports of Canada. Additional chemicals transported include U.S. go into food, power drinks, cleaning, water purification, and personal care products.
Railroads also move large amounts of anhydrous ammonia, potassium compounds, and urea, as well as millions of tons of raw materials used to produce fertilizer.
“We remain concerned that, while waiting for ILWU Canada members to ratify the agreement struck with the BCMEA, shifts are being missed, and the product is still on the water for weeks after arriving at the Port of Vancouver,” the CEO of NACD said. “The current situation means that sooner or later product will not arrive on time, causing the needs of customers to not be met and the consumer either being unable to secure the product they need or facing difficulties affording them due to increased costs.”
NACD said some chemical companies expect supply chain congestion to last until September or October.
According to the Association of American Railroads, a single rail tank car of anhydrous ammonia is the equivalent of approximately four tanker trucks and enough to fertilize 770 acres of corn.
World of trade in turmoil
The strike has left logistics managers and the world of trade in turmoil as they attempt to assess the situation and make decisions about changing ports.
A reliable source said that containers were finally unloaded a month late.
“We tracked the vessel which was at anchor at the start of the strike to leave to go to Seattle and drop off U.S. bound containers,” the reliable source said. “Finally the vessel went back only to wait again with the on-again, off-again strike.”
According to eeSea, there were three new vessel port diversions and one new port change, bringing the total to seventeen port swaps and thirteen diversions since the start of the strike on July 1. As a result, $12 billion in freight was stranded on the water.
ILWU West Coast Canadian Chapter members are expected to vote on a tentative agreement on Thursday and Friday. There is no timeline for the announcement of the vote results, according to the union.
The terms of the deal include a four-year package with a compounded 19.2% wage increase over the four years, which would result in the median ILWU income moving from $136,000 to $162,000, not including benefits and pension, according to the British Columbia Maritime Employers Association, which represents port ownership. It disclosed that the proposed deal also provides an 18.5% increase in retirement lump sum payment in addition to pensions, increased tool allowances, benefits, and pension contributions.